Thursday, November 06, 2008

Aoun: Integrate Lebanon into Hizballah

Naharnet reports:
Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun has proposed a defense strategy blueprint suggesting changing the whole of Lebanon into a resisting community…

…The daily al-Akhbar said Aoun's blueprint focuses on two main headlines: Collective resistance and defining threats that the Lebanese should be ready to confront.

Collective resistance, according to Aoun, means that the defense strategy should be a "bastion" at the economic, political, military and educational levels, noting the defense strategy is "not only related to the topic of resistance, but also includes all issues that should be settled to launch state construction and reform," according to al-Akhbar.

The only threat to Lebanon, according to Aoun's blueprint, is the "external threat," the report said, noting that it specifically mentioned Israeli aggressions and the "Palestinian topic manipulated by external sides targeting Lebanon's security."

Al-Akhbar quoted a source who had participated in the Conference on National Dialogue as saying Aoun's blueprint "did not mention Hizbullah weapons as such, but it called for resistance-army integration."
Other leaks on Aoun’s proposal came from MP Michel el Murr, who noted that it would place resistance groups in all of the country’s towns, cities, and villages. According to the Naharnet, M14 sources who received copies of the document described it as "catastrophic," while Murr was reported to have claimed that "it would lead to chaos".


  1. I think there definitely needs to be some kind of amalgamation of Hezbollah's military command and that of the state.

    Turning a nation into a resistance probably isn't the way to go, but Aoun's idea of turning two military bodies into one is on the right track.

    Hezbollah's military orders need to be centralised, but one of the core problems is that there really isn't anything to centralise to, politically speaking. Lebanon does not behave as a single power with a single authority. Our political process is made up of corrupt factions and tribes that are concerned with their self-interest, not the national interest.

    So there is no way Hezbollah would surrender its green button to such an unstable political elite.

    Another problem is that although M14 desire Hezbollah fully joining the political process, they don't want to be held liable should Hezbollah go off on its own and launch a few rockets on Israel.

    But none of the above rules out co-operation with the Lebanese Army, the only truly national institution we have.

    Why not just setup a joint military command between Hezbollah and the Lebanese Army? Of course, it would be redefined to avoid political interference from outside, but ensure that we have a broad security strategy.

    Nevertheless, at the end of the day if the Lebanese can find a way to work out their own problems I'd me incredibly surprised. I've got my bets on the Syria-Israel peace talks. The further they go to warming their relations, the more stable Lebanon will become. I expect little to happen in Lebanon until Israel's elections.

  2. Who will have their finger on the war button, Lebanon or Iran? If it's Lebanon, then the reason for Hezbollah disappears. If it's Iran, then Lebanon essentially becomes a conquered state, as the Iranians will have control over war and peace, borders, and social services.

    The only thing left is the central bank. How long will it be before an income-deprived Iran turns its eyes towards Lebanon's gold and foreign exchange reserves?

    Sleiman won't do anything about Hezbollah because he considers the Iranian mullahs to be a "regional" problem. In America we have a saying, "Think globally, act locally." When the next war breaks out and you cry in protest, will you understand then what happens when you don't act? Why should the world then have sympathy for Lebanon's fate, when the Lebanese themselves don't act to engage the world's support and sympathy now?

  3. Jimmy6:52 PM

    What a crock! Where have you been living Antoun? Sure your ideas sound happy and nice and reconcilliatory but they're not realistic!

    Look, there are self-serving politicians in countries all over the world, but there aren't militias like Hizballah undermining the state everywhere in the world! Lebanese have to decide, do they want to fix the state or throw it away in favor of Hizballah's militia and all the baggage they bring.

    If Hizballah want to be part of this country then they have to become the equals of everyone else in it, and not try to retain their weapons over everyone's head!

  4. Jimmy6:54 PM

    Sol2: The Lebanese gov't acted in May, where was the world then?

    Enough with this bullshit narrative that its OK to bomb the shit out of all of Lebanon because the Lebanese "aren't acting".

  5. Jimmy,

    I'm sorry, but there's nothing like Lebanon when it comes to self-serving politicians (that's if you regard Lebanon as a democracy).

    There is no one in our political establishment working for the Lebanese national interest. This is an important factor one has to take into consideration when trying to come up with an approach to resolve our problems.

    You can't approach Hezbollah as if our state functioned like a US or France.

    We do not have a central authority that administers the rule of law all over the country.

    Lebanon is made up of a variety of tribal and sectarian cantons, it's a quasi-federation.

    Beirut is my territory, the South is your territory.

    It just so happens that those that rule the "southern" canton have weapons.

    If you want them to give up their weapons, then we need to reconcile. Every canton, faction, sect and warlord needs to give up their pride and reform our political process so that power is centralised.

    You're right that my ideas are rosy but farfetched, which is why I said that I don't expect that happen because no political leader is interested in Lebanon's collective national interest.

    Hence why I'm waiting for Israel's elections.

    Because we're so incapable of sorting out our own problems, I wait for the regional hegemons to decide for us.

  6. That is destructive on a scale currently unfathomable. The whole Lebanon becoming Hizballah thing. Israelis have lost all sympathy for the Lebanese with the Kuntar affair. That by itself has at least doubled the casualties and damages of the next, inevitable, war - because Hizballah must attack Israel to justify its existence. Intertwining HA and LAF (HALAF?) would result in the annihilation of what little capability LAF has. And tremendous damages and casualties to Lebanon, because it would officially be Lebanon attacking Israel.

    And then Syria (or Iran) will take over the ruins.

    I wonder how deep this particular rabbit hole goes.

  7. Hariri is gay....yes really he is....have you ever seen his wife?8:27 PM

    This Naharnet version of the report is crap.

    Although Aouns original proposal isn't genius. He's just calling for an integration of HA and LAF.
    The army is already in every town and village. The army will just have a new form and purpose. And we need to overhaul our armed services anyways, especially since we don't have the mandatory conscription any longer.

  8. i dont agree that we lost all sympathy with lebanon over the kuntar affair.. if anything we were disappointed by syria for glorifying kuntar..

    i think israel has lost faith that lebanon is strong enough to speak for itself and agree to the peace deal we both deserve..


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