Friday, May 09, 2008

What Now?

Shiite gunmen from the Amal group rest during clashes in a newly seized neighborhood in Beirut, Lebanon, Friday, May 9, 2008. Shiite Hezbollah gunmen seized control of neighborhoods in the Lebanese capital's Muslim sector from Sunni foes loyal to the U.S.-backed government on Friday following sectarian clashes reminiscent of Lebanon's bloody 15-year civil war. (AP Photo/Bela Szandelszky)

I can't write much, but suffice it to say that some calm has come to certain areas of Beirut where Hizballah-led forces have ousted local [Sunni] resident-gunmen fighting the group's advance. Future TV and Newspaper, the mouthpiece of the [Sunni] Future Movement and of the Hariri family that heads it, has seen its offices in Beirut burnt; and other anti-Syrian media outlets have been targeted.

Rumor in Lebanon has it that the head of the military, General Michel Suleiman, who's election Hizballah and others have blocked over the past six months, is being urged to assume power. Exact details of how he would do so remain sketchy, with some believing that Hizballah would only agree to it if its accompanied by the current government's resignation - something that would have happened if Suleiman were elected along the [non-violent!] constitutional lines Hizballah has been blocking.

As of now, there is no indication of what is to come. What is clear is that Hizballah has effectuated a Gaza-like takeover of Beirut and is now preparing to leverage this new status quo in return for the same goals it could not achieve through [non-violent!] legal and constitutional means.

With the International Tribunal coming into effect later this summer, a violent takeover of Lebanon seems to have been the route the group has chosen for itself to protect it, and its assassin-allies from justice. And rest assured, the shift in balances of power due to this coup will provide Hizballah's [and Hamas'] primary backers [Iran, primarily, and Syria] with the needed fodder and leverage in their own negotiations with Israel and the West.

3 comments:

  1. Anonymous5:32 PM

    What now? Lebanese can enjoy living in Hezbollah's version of Orwell's "Airstrip One".

    ReplyDelete
  2. Well, I think it is clearer now. Nobody can say any more that Hezbollah is "just another militia". They have shown (again) their true face. This is a sad day for Lebanon. And in general for any decent person.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Now we rearm, and we blow up the country... once more.

    ReplyDelete

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