Friday, December 08, 2006

Nasrallah's Speech: An Opinion


In a very politically charged speech delivered yesterday, Nasrallah did not adopt a conciliatory tone, but rather a highly confrontational one. The most striking features of the speech being the accusations put forth against PM Sanyoura and the ruling majority. This is an opinion piece trying to address Nasrallah's words.

Perhaps the only positive aspect of the speech was Nasrallah's reference to the declarations of the maronite council (a council of the Christian maronite religious figures headed by Patriarch Sfeir) which called for the adoption of the international court, early presidential elections, the implemetation of the Taef agreement, and the formation of what the council referred to as an "entente" government. After hearing Nasrallah's speech, it is hard to believe that he or the opposition even read that declaration. In fact, when the maronite council referred to the implementation of the Taef agreement, one can safely assume that they primarily (I say primarily, because obviously the maronite council also cares about the adoption of a new electoral law that would be fairer than the latest law) meant disarming all militias, including Hizballah. Further, the maronite council called for changing the current President of the Republic, a staunch pro-Syrian (and by proxy, Hizballah) ally as conditions for the formation of the so-called "entente" government.

On another note, Nasrallah rejected the "roundtable talks" as a waiste of the opposition's time. Why is the opposition so keen on not waisting any time in negotiations? Is it because they fear that the government will be able to pass a resolution approving the international court that might indict their allies? The most alarming parts of the speech were Nasrallah's accusations which crossed all red lines. It is unheard of in democracies to accuse a ruling Prime Minister and a government of treachery without supplying proof, or even worse while offering to partner with them in a national "unity" government. This is not only paradoxical, but hypocritical.

It is of utmost importance that Nasrallah provides proof for claims he made about the PM and the majority. In fact, Nasrallah's words were not only uncalculated, but also dangerous. Hizballah's strategy always evolved along one main line: Accusations of treachery being thrown left and right wihtout any proof. For all the negatives that one might perceive whithin the March 14 group, it is to their credit that they are asking for a proper legal process with regards to former PM Hariri's assassination. It is desirable that Hizballah learns to follow suit with their accusations. In the remote case that such accusations are authenticated, Hizballah need not demonstrate since the government will lose its popular support swiftly. Until then, Nasrallah's words will resonate as dangerous sectarian claims that further divide the Lebanese and further complicate an already tense sectarian divide.

4 comments:

  1. Who said in the first place that Nasrallah remotly cares about the welfare of the Lebanese. This person is a local tool in the hands of the Ayatollahs of Qom. In order to talk to him, you need to talk to them as he cannot decide without their approval.

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  2. Anonymous11:48 AM

    Compte rendu
    Le Hezbollah est accusé de se réarmer avec l'aide de l'Iran et de la Syrie
    LE MONDE | 07.12.06 | 13h55 • Mis à jour le 07.12.06 | 13h55
    NEW YORK (NATIONS UNIES) CORRESPONDANT


    n dépit d'un embargo sur les armes décrété par la résolution 1701 du Conseil de sécurité, le 11 août, pour mettre fin au conflit avec Israël, le Hezbollah libanais est accusé, par des sources onusiennes et diplomatiques, de continuer à se procurer des armes en provenance de Syrie et d'Iran, ses principaux "parrains". Dans un rapport transmis le 1er décembre au Conseil de sécurité de l'ONU, Kofi Annan affirme que "les Nations unies continuent à recevoir des rapports sur la contrebande illégale d'armes à travers la frontière libano-syrienne, mais n'ont pas été en mesure de vérifier ces rapports".


    Un haut responsable proche du dossier, contacté par Le Monde, évoque toutefois un "réarmement constant et massif du Hezbollah". Selon lui, par crainte d'attiser le conflit, le premier ministre libanais, Fouad Siniora, refuse de divulguer ces informations "alarmantes". Les données auraient été confirmées par les services de renseignement français, américains et israéliens.

    Toujours selon ce haut responsable, ces armes seraient "iraniennes pour l'essentiel" et entreraient au Liban par la frontière terrestre avec la Syrie, grâce à la complicité de sympathisants du Hezbollah au sein de la sûreté générale libanaise, qui contrôle les points d'entrée du pays. La plupart de ces équipements iraient "dans les camps palestiniens, qui sont un lieu sûr, surtout dans la plaine de la Bekaa".

    "Voilà un beau "trou noir"", confirme un responsable militaire onusien, selon lequel "ni la Force intérimaire des Nations unies au Liban (Finul), ni l'armée libanaise ne pénètrent dans les camps (de réfugiés) palestiniens", y compris dans la zone d'opération de la Finul. "On sait que c'est plein d'armes", poursuit le fonctionnaire, qui assure que "l'absence d'étanchéité de la frontière est un secret de Polichinelle".

    Selon Daniel Carmon, ambassadeur adjoint d'Israël à l'ONU, "c'est un véritable trafic d'armes". "Le problème, c'est que le gouvernement libanais n'a pas demandé à l'ONU de garder sa frontière", ajoute-t-il. Depuis le cessez-le-feu, le 14 août, les Israéliens n'ont cessé d'affirmer que le Hezbollah se réarmait, sans fournir aucune preuve formelle. L'armée affirme également que les combattants hezbollahis ont repris position à la frontière sous l'apparence de Libanais ordinaires. Israël justifie le survol par son aviation du territoire libanais par le fait que la frontière avec la Syrie est, selon lui, totalement poreuse.


    "PREUVES SPORADIQUES"


    Un ambassadeur européen à l'ONU admet que les informations sur le trafic d'armes sont "crédibles", notamment dans la mesure où le Hezbollah a lui-même affirmé s'être réarmé, mais affirme "ne pas disposer de preuves". Par le passé, la Syrie a démenti tout rôle dans le trafic d'armes, sans nier qu'il puisse y avoir des actes de "contrebande".

    Le 28 août, Fouad Siniora avait révélé que "des armes sérieuses" destinées au Hezbollah avaient été saisies, mais avait refusé de donner des détails. Selon des informations obtenues par Le Monde, six lance-roquettes ont été saisis, le 20 août, à Qana ; 1 000 kg d'explosif, le 25 août, à Harabta ; un véhicule de transport de troupes blindé M113, un camion militaire et un canon de 155 mm, le 28 août, à Rachayya Al-Fakhar ; 4 têtes de roquettes et 4 roquettes Katioucha, le 30 août, au même endroit.

    D'après le rapport de Kofi Annan, "la Finul et les forces armées libanaises ont vu des preuves sporadiques de la présence de personnels armés, d'armes ou d'équipements non autorisés (...) Depuis début septembre, la Finul est entrée en contact avec des armes non autorisées à 13 reprises (...) Les deux plus notables ont été la découverte de 17 Katioucha et de plusieurs explosifs improvisés (...) ainsi que d'une cache d'armes abritant 7 missiles, 3 lance-roquettes et une quantité substantielle de munitions".

    Le document indique par ailleurs que des experts de l'ONU ont constaté des "déficiences significatives" dans le dispositif de surveillance des frontières mis en place par le gouvernement libanais, et notamment le déploiement de 8 000 hommes le long de la frontière avec la Syrie.



    Philippe Bolopion (avec Michel Bôle-Richard à Jérusalem)
    Article paru dans l'édition du 08.12.06

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  3. Kalach7:28 PM

    Hassan Nasrallah wants to continue these “peaceful protests” for the next few days, keeping most of his weapons ready, but hidden. Some suddenly “appeared” on Monday. He is deliberately baiting the Sunni by marching through their areas, “peacefully”. He WANTS the Sunni to shoot at his men, and he WANTS some Shia to be killed. Then he can claim that his men have to shoot back in self-defence (an old Nazi trick). Trashing Sunni shops and burning cars is textbook provocation. Thus the civil war begins. He seems to be planning for full conflict by Wednesday. Iran and Syria are already streaming in weapons and fighters from the borders. Nasrallah seems to think that many Lebanese will emigrate, and the remainder will be outnumbered, and outgunned, and quit. He already said he can get the military on his side. Then he can take over the government, and declare himself ruler for life. Uncooperative Lebanese will begin to disappear. Shortly thereafter, he will declare war against Israel. This will unite the country against an external enemy (another old Nazi trick). Nasrallah does not care how many Shia are killed – he works for Iran, and Hizbullah is expendable. Hitler got his newly controlled army to machine gun his original street thugs. How else can an ambitious man get to run his own country? Many Lebanese are already armed, and the Saudis, and others, will supply weapons to Nasrallah’s enemies. Massive bloodshed will follow, but Nasrallah intends to win. Iran and Syria are supporting him, because Lebanese democracy will be dead, and no longer a threat to them. Best of all, Lebanon can do their dirty work for them by attacking Israel in a genocidal death struggle. AS SOON as Nasrallah gets rid of Saniora, Lebanon will become a completely different country.

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  4. Anonymous7:48 PM

    By escalating, and accusing the government of being Israeli
    collaborators
    he is trying to cover up from his colossal mistakes not the least of
    which was
    starting the devastating war in july.
    It is a classic diversion tactic. I am amazed how people are easily
    swayed by propaganda:
    first the problem was the Shebaa Farms- a totally worthless piece of
    territory,
    then it was Lebanese prisoners in Israel (there was only one prisoner,
    a murderer- Samir Kuntar),
    then its corruption (while this is one of the most honest governments
    in the history of lebanon)
    then they want power sharing (while they are attempting a power grab
    and are allied with the
    corrupt president Lahoud and control the speaker of the house position
    as well),
    then they accuse government of collaborating with Israel (when the
    government saved them
    during the war), then it is about the death of a shiite man (while they
    provoked his
    death by adopting the street strategy) ;
    and their people fall for all the lies.
    Wake up !!!!

    Hizbollah has lost its base of operations in the south, and has now
    turned its guns
    inward. We are suffering from the failures of the Bush administration;
    they
    should not have allowed Israel to weaken the central government so much
    during
    the july war. Now the entire country is at risk of being ruled by a
    madman like Nasrallah
    using the idiot Aoun. The obscurantists in Iran are cynically using
    Hizballah and Lebanon.
    They could care less about Shi'as rights, all they crave for is power.

    Their coup attempt cannot succeed, because Lebanon is a diverse and
    open society that will
    not accept to be ruled by the thugs in Damascus and Teheran.
    Syria and Iran's strengths are at destroying life and creating mayhem,
    but, in order to thrive
    in the long run, states must be able to contribute towards the
    building a functioning economy
    and society so people can thrive and prisper.
    In the absence of that, they will remain failed states based on failed
    ideologies unable
    to provide for their people, stuck in an anachronistic reality.

    We do not need to wait for then to catch up with the 21 st century, for
    us
    to progress.
    Lebanon should leave the failed ideologies of war an terrorism behind.

    We should drive to build an open society, one that is independent,
    sovereign
    and democratic and most of all at peace with ALL its neighbors.

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